Methodology
Sample description
- Sample size and composition: 57,967 randomly selected US adults
- Interviewing dates: Daily, December 17, 2007 November 3, 2008
Sampling procedures
Respondents were sampled for the National Rolling Cross-Section using the following random-digit dialing and respondent selection procedures:
Random telephone number generation: A list of 10-digit US telephone numbers was randomly generated, inclusive of the 48 continental states and Washington, DC:
- The first eight digits of phone numbers were randomly generated proportional to estimates of the percentage of household phones beginning with those digits.
- The last two digits were generated entirely at random.
- Known cell phone numbers were excluded.
Household identification: Interviewers called the random phone list to identify numbers that were households. When interviewers determined that a number was not a household or was out of service, the number was removed from the study.
Selection of respondents within households: Upon reaching a household, interviewers asked to speak with an adult age 18 or older, and then asked this person how many adults lived in the household. One adult per household was selected as a survey respondent:
- If there was one adult in the household, he or she was selected as the survey respondent.
- If there were two adults, interviewers asked at random for either the younger or older adult.
- If there were three adults, interviewers asked at random for the youngest, middle, or oldest adult.
- If there were four adults, interviewers asked randomly for either the adult who most recently celebrated a birthday or the adult with the next birthday.
- If there were no adults age 18 or older, the household was ineligible and removed from the study.
Phone procedures
Interviewers called sampled phone numbers multiple times to identify households, select respondents, and complete interviews. The following phone procedures were used:
Calling schedule: Randomly generated phone numbers were added to the study in daily batches. Each phone number was called up to a maximum of 18 total calls over 14 days from the date of addition to the study:
- If a number resulted in no answer, a busy signal, or the call being forwarded to an answering machine, the number was scheduled to be called again no later than the next day.
- If households asked to be called back, interviewers accommodated requests to call at specific times, or called back within the next few days if no time was specified.
- Most calls were made on weekday evenings and weekends. When possible, at least one attempt was made to each phone number during a weekday morning or afternoon.
- After a number was called 18 times over 14 days, no additional calls were made to that number.
Refusals and breakoffs: If a household refused to participate in the survey, or started and broke off an interview, interviewers called back to try to elicit participation:
- If a household refused during the first week of calling to the number, generally the callback was made a few days later.
- If a household refused during the second week of calling to the number, generally the callback was made the next day.
- If a respondent started and broke off an interview, he or she was called back to restart and complete the interview. Generally, callbacks to complete partial interviews were initiated within one day of the breakoff.
Interview language: Interviews were conducted in English or Spanish at the respondent's preference. Variable WHa01 indicates the interview language.
Daily interviewing volume
The number of National Rolling Cross-Section interviews completed per day varied from 40 to 313, depending on the campaign period. The highest interviewing volumes were allocated for the primary and general election periods:
Month
Interviews completed
Daily minimum
Daily average
Daily maximum
December 2007
2,115
67
176
258
January 2008
7,142
185
238
313
February 2008
7,219
197
249
291
March 2008
5,457
109
182
284
April 2008
4,478
119
149
194
May 2008
4,530
125
146
170
June 2008
2,443
40
81
163
July 2008
1,617
44
54
81
August 2008
7,098
98
229
308
September 2008
7,785
183
260
301
October 2008
7,320
204
244
281
November 2008
763
226
254
276
Holidays / days without interviews: National RCS interviews were conducted daily, with the following exceptions:
- December 24 and 25, 2007, Christmas holiday
- December 31, 2007, and January 1, 2008, New Year's holiday
- March 23, 2008, Easter
- July 4, 2008, Independence Day
- October 7, 2008 due to a field house technical problem, no interviews were completed this day
Response rate
Call outcomes: The following table shows the total telephone numbers called for the National Rolling Cross-Section, and the final outcome of calling each:
Total telephone numbers called:
729,945
Final outcome:
A. Eligible households
254,382
A1. Completed interviews
57,967
A2. Households that started and broke off interviews
9,500
A3. Households that did not begin interviews
186,915
A3a. Refused to participate
43,195
A3b. Unavailable when called (*)
143,720
B. Ineligible households (**)
536
C. Non-household or out-of-service numbers
424,536
D. Numbers of unknown status (***)
50,491
* Unavailable when called includes temporarily unavailable, away from home for duration of study, and language barrier (language other than English or Spanish).
** Ineligible households are those with no adult 18 or older.
*** Numbers of unknown status are those that resulted in no answer or busy signal all attempts. An unknown percentage of these numbers are non-household or out-of-service numbers.
Response rate calculation: Response rate is the ratio of completed interviews to total households called:
- A conservative approach is to assume that the total number of households includes both those of known eligibility (A, table above) and those of unknown status (D). Using this method, the response rate for the National Rolling Cross-Section is 19% [A1 / (A + D)].
- A less conservative approach is to include only households of known eligibility. Using this method, the response rate is 23% (A1 / A).
Sample description
- Sample size and composition: 3,737 US adults initially interviewed for the National Rolling Cross-Section during the 13 weeks before the general election
- Interviewing dates: November 5 10, 2008
Sampling procedures
The Post-Election Reinterview consists of second interviews with respondents initially interviewed for the National Rolling Cross-Section during the period August 8 through November 3, 2008.
A total of 21,698 respondents were interviewed for the National RCS during this period, of which 78% consented at the end of the interview to being recontacted for a second interview.
Of these 78% of National RCS respondents who consented to a second interview, 6,990 were randomly selected for the Post-Election Reinterview.
Phone procedures
Calling schedule: The goal was to complete as many reinterviews as possible in the days immediately following the election. Interviewers called sampled respondents daily to re-establish contact and complete reinterviews.
Respondent matching: At the end of the National RCS interview, respondents indicated their first names. At the start of the reinterview, interviewers confirmed they were speaking to the same respondent by asking for him or her by name, and confirming that gender and age (within one year) matched with the data collected for the National RCS interview.
Interview language: Interviews were conducted in English or Spanish at the respondent's preference. Variable WHa01 indicates the interview language.
Response rate
Reinterviews were completed with 3,737 of 6,990 respondents called for the Post-Election Reinterview, a 53% recontact rate. The overall response rate is the product of the recontact rate and the percentage of National RCS respondents who consented to being recontacted (78%), which is 41%.