Variable catalogSubject N detail
= go to variable directory
= go to variable detail
= go to questionnaire (if applicable)
= expand/collapse subject
= active for full component
= partially active
NA — Primary election
NB — General election
NAa — Likely primary outcomes
NAb — Primary endorsements
NAc — Actual primary outcomes
Chance Giuliani will be Republican nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/29/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Rudy Giuliani will beat the other Republican candidates and become the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa01
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance Huckabee will be Republican nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 3/4/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Mike Huckabee will beat the other Republican candidates and become the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa02
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance McCain will be Republican nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 3/4/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are John McCain will beat the other Republican candidates and become the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa03
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance Romney will be Republican nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 2/6/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Mitt Romney will beat the other Republican candidates and become the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa04
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance Thompson will be Republican nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/17/08 – 1/21/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Fred Thompson will beat the other Republican candidates and become the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa05
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance Clinton will be Democratic nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 6/8/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Hillary Clinton will beat the other Democratic candidates and become the Democratic candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa06
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance Edwards will be Democratic nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/29/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are John Edwards will beat the other Democratic candidates and become the Democratic candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa07
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Chance Obama will be Democratic nominee
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 6/8/08
Filter
Using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Barack Obama will beat the other Democratic candidates and become the Democratic candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAa08
0 – 100, 998, 999
3
Endorsement of major IA/NH/MA papers for Republican nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/6/08
Do you happen to know which one candidate the major papers in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts endorsed for the Republican nomination for president?
[As necessary:] That is The Des Moines Register in Iowa, the Manchester Union Leader in New Hampshire, and The Boston Globe in Massachusetts, which neighbors New Hampshire.
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Tancredo
8
Thompson
9
Other (verbatim answer in NAb01r9v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb01
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
NAb01r9v
Verbatim
255
Joe Lieberman endorsement for Republican nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/6/08
Do you happen to know which one candidate Joe Lieberman endorsed for the Republican nomination for president?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Tancredo
8
Thompson
9
Other (verbatim answer in NAb02r9v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb02
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
NAb02r9v
Verbatim
255
National Right to Life endorsement for Republican nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/11/08 – 1/21/08
Do you happen to know who National Right to Life endorsed for the Republican nomination for president?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Tancredo
8
Thompson
9
Other (verbatim answer in NAb03r9v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Thompson
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb03
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
NAb03r9v
Verbatim
255
National Right to Life endorsement of Thompson for Republican nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/11/08 – 1/21/08
National Right to Life endorsed Fred Thompson [for the Republican nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely, less likely, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Fred Thompson?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Thompson
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb04
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
New York Times endorsement for Republican nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/25/08 – 2/18/08
Do you happen to know who The New York Times endorsed for the Republican nomination for president?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
McCain
4
Romney
5
Other (verbatim answer in NAb05r5v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb05
1 – 5, 998, 999
3
NAb05r5v
Verbatim
255
New York Times endorsement of McCain for Republican nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/25/08 – 2/18/08
The New York Times endorsed John McCain [for the Republican nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support McCain, less likely to support McCain, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support John McCain?
1
Makes more likely to vote for McCain
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb06
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
James Dobson endorsement for Republican nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/8/08 – 2/18/08
Do you happen to know who Dr. James Dobson, president of Focus on the Family, endorsed for the Republican nomination for president?
1
Huckabee
2
McCain
3
Other (verbatim answer in NAb07r3v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Huckabee
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb07
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
NAb07r3v
Verbatim
255
James Dobson endorsement of Huckabee for Republican nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/8/08 – 2/18/08
Dr. James Dobson endorsed Mike Huckabee [for the Republican nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Huckabee, less likely to support Huckabee, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Mike Huckabee?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Huckabee
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb08
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
Oprah Winfrey endorsement for Democratic nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/6/08
Do you happen to know who Oprah Winfrey endorsed for the Democratic nomination for president?
1
Biden
2
Clinton
3
Dodd
4
Edwards
5
Gravel
6
Kucinich
7
Obama
8
Richardson
9
Other (verbatim answer in NAb09r9v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb09
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
NAb09r9v
Verbatim
255
New York Times endorsement for Democratic nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/25/08 – 2/5/08
Do you happen to know who The New York Times endorsed for the Democratic nomination for president?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Obama
5
Other (verbatim answer in NAb10r5v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Clinton
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb10
1 – 5, 998, 999
3
NAb10r5v
Verbatim
255
New York Times endorsement of Clinton for Democratic nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/25/08 – 2/5/08
The New York Times endorsed Hillary Clinton [for the Democratic nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Clinton, less likely to support Clinton, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Hillary Clinton?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Clinton
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb11
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
Edward Kennedy endorsement for Democratic nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/28/08 – 2/6/08
Do you happen to know who Senator Edward Kennedy endorsed for the Democratic nomination for president?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Obama
5
Other (verbatim answer in NAb12r5v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb12
1 – 5, 998, 999
3
NAb12r5v
Verbatim
255
Edward Kennedy endorsement of Obama for Democratic nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/28/08 – 2/6/08
Senator Edward Kennedy endorsed Barack Obama [for the Democratic nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Obama, less likely to support Obama, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Barack Obama?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Obama
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb13
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
United Farm Workers endorsement for Democratic nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/4/08 – 2/11/08
Do you happen to know who the United Farm Workers endorsed for the Democratic nomination for president?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Obama
5
Other (verbatim answer in NAb14r5v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Clinton
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb14
1 – 5, 998, 999
3
NAb14r5v
Verbatim
255
United Farm Workers endorsement of Clinton for Democratic nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/4/08 – 2/11/08
The United Farm Workers endorsed Hillary Clinton [for the Democratic nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Clinton, less likely to support Clinton, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Hillary Clinton?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Clinton
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb15
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
MoveOn.Org endorsement for Democratic nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/4/08 – 2/11/08
Do you happen to know who MoveOn.Org endorsed for the Democratic nomination for president?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Obama
5
Other (verbatim answer in NAb16r5v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb16
1 – 5, 998, 999
3
NAb16r5v
Verbatim
255
MoveOn.Org endorsement of Obama for Democratic nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/4/08 – 2/11/08
MoveOn.Org endorsed Barack Obama [for the Democratic nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Obama, less likely to support Obama, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Barack Obama?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Obama
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb17
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
Bill Richardson endorsement for Democratic nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
3/24/08 – 4/2/08
Do you happen to know who New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson endorsed for the Democratic nomination for president?
1
Clinton
2
Obama
3
Other (verbatim answer in NAb18r3v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb18
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
NAb18r3v
Verbatim
255
Bill Richardson endorsement of Obama for Democratic nomination affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
3/24/08 – 4/2/08
Governor Bill Richardson endorsed Barack Obama [for the Democratic nomination]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Obama, less likely to support Obama, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Barack Obama?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Obama
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAb19
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
Republican winner of Iowa caucus
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/4/08 – 1/8/08
Do you happen to know which Republican candidate won the Iowa caucus?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Thompson
8
Haven't heard
9
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Huckabee
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc01
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
Democratic winner of Iowa caucus
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/4/08 – 1/8/08
Do you happen to know which Democratic candidate won the Iowa caucus?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Kucinich
5
Obama
6
Richardson
7
Haven't heard
8
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc02
1 – 8, 998, 999
3
Republican winner of New Hampshire primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/9/08 – 1/15/08
Do you happen to know which Republican candidate won the New Hampshire primary?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Thompson
8
Haven't heard
9
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc03
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
Democratic winner of New Hampshire primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/9/08 – 1/21/08
Do you happen to know which Democratic candidate won the New Hampshire primary?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Kucinich
5
Obama
6
Richardson
7
Haven't heard
8
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Clinton
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc04
1 – 8, 998, 999
3
Republican winner of Michigan primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/16/08 – 1/21/08
Do you happen to know which Republican candidate won the Michigan primary?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Thompson
8
Haven't heard
9
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Romney
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc05
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
Democratic winner of Nevada caucuses
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/22/08 – 1/27/08
Do you happen to know which Democratic candidate won the Nevada caucuses?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Kucinich
5
Obama
6
Haven't heard
7
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Clinton
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc06
1 – 7, 998, 999
3
Republican winner of South Carolina primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/22/08 – 1/29/08
Do you happen to know which Republican candidate won the South Carolina primary?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
Hunter
4
McCain
5
Paul
6
Romney
7
Thompson
8
Haven't heard
9
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc07
1 – 9, 998, 999
3
Democratic winner of South Carolina primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/28/08 – 1/29/08
Do you happen to know which Democratic candidate won the South Carolina primary?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Kucinich
5
Obama
6
Richardson
7
Haven't heard
8
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc08
1 – 8, 998, 999
3
Republican winner of Florida primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/30/08 – 2/5/08
Do you happen to know which Republican candidate won the Florida primary?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
McCain
4
Paul
5
Romney
6
Haven't heard
7
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc09
1 – 7, 998, 999
3
Democratic winner of Florida primary
Schedule
Nat RCS
1/30/08 – 2/5/08
Do you happen to know which Democratic candidate won the Florida primary?
1
Clinton
2
Edwards
3
Gravel
4
Obama
5
Haven't heard
6
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc10
1 – 6, 998, 999
3
Republican winner on Super Tuesday
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/6/08 – 2/12/08
Which Republican candidate running for president won more of the Republican primaries and state conventions on Super Tuesday, February 5?
1
Giuliani
2
Huckabee
3
McCain
4
Paul
5
Romney
6
Haven't heard
7
Can't remember
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: McCain
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc11
1 – 7, 998, 999
3
Republican candidate with most delegates for nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/13/08 – 3/4/08
As far as you know, which Republican candidate for president currently has the most delegates for the Republican party nomination?
1
Huckabee
2
McCain
3
Paul
4
Other (verbatim answer in NAc12r4v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc12
1 – 4, 998, 999
3
NAc12r4v
Verbatim
255
Democratic candidate with most delegates for nomination
Schedule
Nat RCS
2/13/08 – 5/29/08
As far as you know, which Democratic candidate for president currently has the most delegates for the Democratic party nomination?
1
Clinton
2
Gravel
3
Obama
4
Other (verbatim answer in NAc13r4v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NAc13
1 – 4, 998, 999
3
NAc13r4v
Verbatim
255
NBa — Likely general election outcomes
NBb — General election endorsements
Chance Giuliani will beat Democrat
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/29/08
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Rudy Giuliani will beat the Democratic candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa01
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Chance Huckabee will beat Democrat
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 3/4/08
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Mike Huckabee will beat the Democratic candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa02
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Chance McCain will beat Democrat
Schedule
Nat RCS
All dates
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are John McCain will beat {12/17/07 – 6/25/08 : the Democratic candidate | 6/26/08 – 11/3/08 : Barack Obama} for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa03
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Chance Romney will beat Democrat
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 2/6/08
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Mitt Romney will beat the Democratic candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa04
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Chance Clinton will beat Republican
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 6/8/08
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Hillary Clinton will beat the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa05
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Chance Edwards will beat Republican
Schedule
Nat RCS
12/17/07 – 1/29/08
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are John Edwards will beat the Republican candidate for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa06
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Chance Obama will beat Republican
Schedule
Nat RCS
All dates
Filter
Thinking about the general election in November and using a scale from zero to 100, where zero means no chance, 50 a 50-50 chance, and 100 a certain win, what do you think the chances are Barack Obama will beat {12/17/07 – 6/25/08 : the Republican candidate | 6/26/08 – 11/3/08 : John McCain} for president? You can name any number from zero to 100.
Number:
0 – 100
0 = no chance
100 = certain win
101
Depends on nominee
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBa07
0 – 101, 998, 999
3
Colin Powell endorsement for president
Schedule
Nat RCS
10/19/08 – 10/23/08
Do you happen to know who Colin Powell endorsed for president?
1
McCain
2
Obama
3
Other (verbatim answer in NBb01r3v)
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Correct answer: Obama
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBb01
1 – 3, 998, 999
3
NBb01r3v
Verbatim
255
Colin Powell endorsement of Obama for president affects vote
Schedule
Nat RCS
10/19/08 – 10/23/08
Colin Powell endorsed Barack Obama [for president]. Does this endorsement make you more likely to support Obama, less likely to support Obama, or does it make no difference in your likelihood to support Barack Obama?
1
Makes more likely to vote for Obama
2
Makes less likely
3
No difference
998
Don't know
999
No answer
Data columns
Name
Codes
Width
NBb02
1 – 3, 998, 999
3